Sunday, April 22, 2012

Retro

How many times have I called upon the wisdom of the Magic Eight Ball? 

I'd ask, but it only responds to yes or no queries. I wondered only because the 8-Ball appeared in a chapter book Benjy and I are reading. This is one hard concept to explain to a kid who has a DSi and Wii and knows nothing of floating dies in liquid dye.

Curious, I googled the clairvoyant of my youth. Did you know that there are 20 answers inside that ball? I had no idea.

Wikipedia lists them:
● It is certain
● It is decidedly so
● Without a doubt
● Yes – definitely
● You may rely on it
● As I see it, yes
● Most likely
● Outlook good
● Signs point to yes
● Yes
● Reply hazy, try again
● Ask again later
● Better not tell you now
● Cannot predict now
● Concentrate and ask again
● Don't count on it
● My reply is no
● My sources say no
● Outlook not so good
● Very doubtful
 
 
And now, for a mathematical connection (brought to you by Wikipedia), because I thought it was interesting, and therefore, you should, too:
 
10 of the possible answers are affirmative (●), 5 are negative (●), and 5 are non-committal (●). Using the Coupon collector's problem in probability theory, it can be shown that it takes, on average, 72[3] questions of the Magic Eight Ball for all 20 of its answers to appear at least once.

My question tonight:
Will I be able to get up at 6 a.m. AND get to work on time tomorrow, the first day after spring break?

Answer:
very doubtful

I'll let you know how it really goes down.

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